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Giant oilfields and civil conflict

Lei, Yu-Hsiang and Michaels, Guy ORCID: 0000-0002-8796-4536 (2012) Giant oilfields and civil conflict. Centrepiece, 17 (1). pp. 22-25. ISSN 1362-3761

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Identification Number: CEPCP371


We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilfield discoveries also have a dark side: they increase the incidence of internal armed conflict by about 5-8 percentage points. This increased incidence of conflict due to giant oilfield discoveries is especially high for countries that had already experienced armed conflicts or coups in the decade prior to discovery.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2012 The Authors
Divisions: Economics
Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Date Deposited: 02 Jul 2013 16:07
Last Modified: 03 Sep 2021 23:14

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