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Earnings dispersion and aggregate stock returns

Jorgensen, Bjorn N., Li, Jing and Sadka, Gil (2012) Earnings dispersion and aggregate stock returns. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 53 (1-2). pp. 1-20. ISSN 0165-4101

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Abstract

This paper studies the relation between aggregate stock returns and contemporaneous and future cross-sectional earnings dispersion. We hypothesize that increases in expected earnings dispersion signal increases in uncertainty and increases in unemployment, thereby causing expected returns to rise, which in turn causes prices to decline. We find a positive relation between aggregate stock returns and contemporaneous earnings dispersion because higher earnings dispersion is associated with higher expected returns. Consequently, we also find a negative relation between aggregate stock returns and future (one-year ahead) earnings dispersion, as investors anticipate higher future earnings dispersion and higher expected returns.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01654...
Additional Information: © 2011 ElsevierB.V.
Library of Congress subject classification: H Social Sciences > HF Commerce > HF5601 Accounting
Journal of Economic Literature Classification System: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing; Trading volume; Bond Interest Rates
G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G14 - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting > M4 - Accounting and Auditing > M41 - Accounting
Sets: Departments > Accounting
Collections > Economists Online
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 18 Jul 2013 15:21
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/50679/

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