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The relationship between EU indicators of persistent and current poverty

Jenkins, Stephen P. and van Kerm, Philippe (2014) The relationship between EU indicators of persistent and current poverty. Social Indicators Research, 116 (2). pp. 511-638. ISSN 0303-8300

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Abstract

The current poverty rate and the persistent poverty rate are both included in the European Union's (EU's) portfolio of primary indicators of social inclusion. We show that there is a near-linear relationship between these two indicators across EU countries drawing on empirical analysis of EU-SILC and ECHP data. Using a prototypical model of poverty dynamics, we explain how the near-linear relationship arises and show how the model can be used to predict persistent poverty rates from current poverty information. In the light of the results, we discuss whether the EU's persistent poverty measure and the design of EU-SILC longitudinal data collection require modification.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.springer.com/social+sciences/journal/11...
Additional Information: © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
Library of Congress subject classification: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
Sets: Departments > Social Policy
Research centres and groups > Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines (STICERD)
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 27 Mar 2013 14:43
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/49511/

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