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Monetary or fiscal stimulus can help only if unemployment is cyclical; otherwise, if unemployment is structural expansionary policies will lead only to inflation. Careful recent analyses indicate that unemployment is mainly cyclical in the US

Ilzetzki, Ethan ORCID: 0000-0002-7573-9411 and Pinder, Jonathan (2012) Monetary or fiscal stimulus can help only if unemployment is cyclical; otherwise, if unemployment is structural expansionary policies will lead only to inflation. Careful recent analyses indicate that unemployment is mainly cyclical in the US. British Politics and Policy at LSE (24 Oct 2012). Website.

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Abstract

Ethan Ilzetzki and Jonathan Pinder examine the US economic woes since the beginning of the recession and the policy response aimed at fighting unemployment. They find that monetary or fiscal stimulus can help only if unemployment is cyclical and that unemployment (now at 7.8%) is indeed mainly cyclical. The examination of the US experience provides valuable insight for the UK experience, currently undergoing a tough austerity programme with an unemployment rate hovering at 7.9%.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information: © 2012 The Author
Divisions: Economics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
JEL classification: G - Financial Economics > G0 - General
J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies
Date Deposited: 15 Feb 2013 10:04
Last Modified: 01 Dec 2024 04:12
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/48729

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