Brunnermeier, Markus K. and Julliard, Christian (2006) Money illusion and housing frenzies. 579. Financial Markets Group, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.
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A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example, investors who decide whether to rent or buy a house by simply comparing monthly rent and mortgage payments do not take into account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We decompose the price-rent ratio in a rational component — meant to capture the proxy effect and risk premia — and an implied mispricing. We find that inflation and nominal interest rates explain a large share of the time-series variation of the mispricing, and that the tilt effect is very unlikely to rationalize this finding.
|Item Type:||Monograph (Discussion Paper)|
|Additional Information:||© 2006 the authors|
|Uncontrolled Keywords:||Housing, Real Estate, Inflation, Inflation Illusion, Mortgages, Behavioral Finance|
|Library of Congress subject classification:||H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory|
|Journal of Economic Literature Classification System:||G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing; Trading volume; Bond Interest Rates
R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R2 - Household Analysis
|Sets:||Research centres and groups > Financial Markets Group (FMG)
Collections > Economists Online
Departments > Economics
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