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Testing for the existence of the ‘January effect’ in transition economies

Asteriou, Dimitrios and Kavetsos, Georgios (2006) Testing for the existence of the ‘January effect’ in transition economies. Applied Financial Economics Letters, 2 (6). pp. 375-381. ISSN 1744-6546

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Identification Number: 10.1080/17446540600706817


This paper tests the efficient market hypothesis (in terms of the presence or not of the ‘January effect’) for eight transition economies, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Our analysis utilizes a monthly dataset that spans from 1991 till the early months of 2003 using monthly time series data of the stock markets of each country. The main results support the existence of seasonal effects and particularly of the January effect for most of the countries in our sample. Stronger evidence (in terms of statistical significance) is evident for the cases of Hungary, Poland and Romania; while for Hungary and Romania the results also suggest evidence in favour of the tax-loss selling hypothesis.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2006 Taylor & Francis
Divisions: Social Policy
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
JEL classification: G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General
P - Economic Systems > P2 - Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies > P27 - Performance and Prospects
Date Deposited: 23 Feb 2012 09:14
Last Modified: 01 Jul 2024 16:30

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