Oliver, Adam (2011) How far did the UK government over-respond to the 2009 threat of swine flu? British Politics and Policy at LSE (18 Oct 2011) Blog Entry.
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Managing major risks creates problems for governments when probabilities are hard to estimate and outcomes are uncertain. Reviewing the experience of the 2009 swine flu pandemic fear, Adam Oliver argues that the UK government over-reacted in some key respects. Partly underlying this response was an ‘aversion to ambiguity’ pattern of behaviour that has long been studied by social scientists. Ambiguity aversion led to an under appreciation by ministers of the opportunity costs of acting, resulting in the government prolonging an insufficiently targeted use of antivirals, and the purchasing of more flu vaccine than was necessary, at an additional cost of perhaps £500 million.
|Item Type:||Website (Blog Entry)|
|Additional Information:||© 2011 The Author|
|Library of Congress subject classification:||R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine|
|Sets:||Departments > Social Policy
Collections > British Politics and Policy at LSE
Research centres and groups > LSE Health
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