Ortalo-Magné, François and Randy, Sven (2001) Housing market dynamics: on the contribution of income shocks and credit constraints. Discussion paper, 375. Financial Markets Group, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.
Download (797Kb) | Preview
This paper presents a dynamic theory of housing market fluctuations. It develops a life-cycle model where households are heterogeneous with respect to income and preferences, and mortgage lending is restricted by a down-payment requirement. the market interaction of young credit-constrained households with order or richer unconstrained households generates the following results. (1) Current income of young credit-constrained households affects housing prices independently of aggregate income. (2) Housing prices and the number of housing transactions are positively correlated. (3) Housing prices over-react to income shocks. (4) A relaxation of the down-payment constraint triggers a boom-but cycle. These results are consistent with patterns observed in the US and the UK.
|Item Type:||Monograph (Discussion Paper)|
|Additional Information:||© 2001 The Authors|
|Library of Congress subject classification:||H Social Sciences > HG Finance
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
|Sets:||Research centres and groups > Financial Markets Group (FMG)
Collections > Economists Online
Actions (login required)
|Record administration - authorised staff only|