List, Christian (2001) Some remarks on the probability of cycles - Appendix 3 to 'Epistemic democracy: generalizing the Condorcet jury theorem'. Journal of Political Philosophy, 9 (3). pp. 277-306. ISSN 1467-9760
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Abstract
This item was published as 'Appendix 3: An Implication of the k-option Condorcet jury mechanism for the probability of cycles' in List and Goodin (2001) http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/705/. Standard results suggest that the probability of cycles should increase as the number of options increases and also as the number of individuals increases. These results are, however, premised on a so-called "impartial culture" assumption: any logically possible preference ordering is assumed to be as likely to be held by an individual as any other. The present chapter shows, in the three-option case, that given suitably systematic, however slight, deviations from an impartial culture situation, the probability of a cycle converges either to zero (more typically) or to one (less typically) as the number of individuals increases.
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Official URL: | http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journals/JOPP |
| Additional Information: | © 2001 Blackwell Publishing |
| Library of Congress subject classification: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) |
| Sets: | Departments > Government Departments > Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method Research centres and groups > Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Jul 2008 09:05 |
| URL: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/19991/ |
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